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Lula approval stable, rejection rate ticks up, poll shows
  + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva speaks during a press conference at a hotel after the G20 Summit, in New Delhi, India, September 11, 2023. REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis Acquire Licensing RightsSept 14 (Reuters) - Approval of Brazil President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's government remained stable in September, although his rejection rate increased, according to a poll published on Thursday. The survey by Datafolha showed positive approval of the government rose slightly to 38% of respondents from 37% in June, while negative views rose from 27% to 31%. Approval of Lula's performance as president after the first eight months of his term is higher than former President Jair Bolsonaro's, who had a 29% approval rate at the same point in 2019. The poll has a margin of error of 2.0 percentage points.
Persons: Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Anushree, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's, Datafolha, Jair Bolsonaro's, Marguerita Choy Organizations: REUTERS, Carolina, Thomson Locations: New Delhi, India
SAO PAULO, June 17 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva entered his sixth month in office with a 37% approval rating and a 27% disapproval rating, according to a Datafolha poll released Saturday, showing a stable result compared to the same pollster's data released in March. The poll shows that 33% of those interviewed said they consider left-wing Lula as "average", while 3% had no opinion. In the previous survey, Lula had an approval rating of 38%, while 29% disapproved. Datafolha surveyed 2,010 voters in 112 municipalities across the country from June 12 to 14, and the poll has a margin of error of two percentage points. Reporting by Steven Grattan; Editing by Franklin PaulOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Lula, Jair Bolsonaro, Datafolha, Steven Grattan, Franklin Paul Organizations: SAO PAULO, Folha, S.Paulo, Franklin Paul Our, Thomson
Almost a third of Brazilians disapprove of Lula, poll shows
  + stars: | 2023-04-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
Lula, who took office in January after narrowly defeating Bolsonaro in an election last October, has the approval of 38% of Brazilians, with 29% disapproving of his performance, according to a Datafolha survey. Bolsonaro, who served as president from 2019 to the end of 2022, never formally conceded defeat to Lula. On Jan. 8, barely a week after Lula began his third term as president, Bolsonaro supporters stormed government buildings in the federal capital Brasilia to protest the election result. After about three months in self-imposed exile in the United States, Bolsonaro returned to Brazil this week. The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus two percentage points.
The president-elect has pledged to "disarm" an increasingly gun-toting country where personal firearms have become a symbol of Bolsonaro's conservative base. Reuters interviewed eight other people working on, or advising, Lula's transition team on bolstering gun controls once he takes office on Jan. 1. The priority will be to reimpose civilian prohibitions on certain high-caliber weapons, including the rifle used by Jefferson, the sources said. The political context is a sharp departure from Lula's 2003-2010 presidency, when he passed sweeping gun laws to combat violent crime. Last week, they charged him with four counts of attempted murder, resisting arrest, and weapons charges.
Brazil election officials brace for tense Sunday vote as Bolsonaro cries foul, article with galleryAmericas · October 28, 2022Brazil's electoral authorities are preparing for a competitive election on Sunday with a result that may be contested by far-right President Jair Bolsonaro if he loses to his leftist adversary, who has a narrow lead in recent opinion polls.
A survey by pollster MDA showed Lula's edge slipping to just 2 percentage points, equal to the margin of error for the poll commissioned by transport sector lobby CNT. But Bolsonaro outperformed opinion polls in the first-round vote on Oct. 2, and many analysts say the election could go either way. The final opinion surveys by pollsters IPEC and AtlasIntel, however, showed Lula holding a stable and slightly larger lead. AtlasIntel, among the most accurate pollsters in the first round, showed Lula's lead holding at 7 percentage points. Lula vowed to revive those boom times, while Bolsonaro suggested current social programs are more effective.
Lula leads Bolsonaro as Brazil's election draws nearer
  + stars: | 2022-10-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: 1 min
SAO PAULO, Oct 27 (Reuters) - Brazilian leftist leader Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's lead over President Jair Bolsonaro slightly increased, just days before a Sunday runoff vote, a poll by Datafolha showed on Thursday. Lula reached 49% of voter support against 44% for the incumbent Bolsonaro, compared to 49% and 45% respectively in the previous poll eight days ago. Datafolha interviewed 4,580 voters between Oct. 25-27 and the poll had a margin of error of 2 percentage points up or down. Reporting by Peter Frontini Editing by Chris ReeseOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
SAO PAULO, Oct 27 (Reuters) - Brazil's leftist presidential candidate Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva maintains the lead over his far-right adversary President Jair Bolsonaro ahead of Sunday's runoff election, according to two polls on Thursday that showed the race is roughly stable. Lula leads by 52.4% of the votes against 46.0% for Bolsonaro, according to an AtlasIntel poll, inching forward from 52.0% while Bolsonaro slipped from 46.0% in the previous poll three days ago. A Datafolha poll showed Lula widening his lead slightly to 5 percentage points from 4 points a week earlier, maintaining 49% of voter support as Bolsonaro slipped 1 percentage point to 44%. Analysts say any sign of stability is good for Lula at this point in the campaign with few days for Bolsonaro to catch him. The pollster says its survey has a margin of error of 1 percentage point up or down.
The new measures will cost some 273 billion reais ($52 billion) this year and next, according to an analysis of government figures by Reuters, adding to fiscal challenges for whoever wins the election. Congressional approval is pending for 146 billion reais worth of that spending. Federal prosecutors responsible for enforcing electoral law have not taken up calls to investigate the allegations of the president’s abuse of his budgetary authority. Lula led Bolsonaro in the first-round vote by 5 percentage points overall, an advantage that opinion polls showed was bolstered by lower-income Brazilians. Auxilio Brasil is not the only program that government critics and legal experts have flagged on suspicion of skirting electoral law.
The new measures will cost some 273 billion reais ($52 billion) this year and next, according to an analysis of government figures by Reuters, adding to fiscal challenges for whoever wins the election. Congressional approval is pending for 146 billion reais worth of that spending. Federal prosecutors responsible for enforcing electoral law have not taken up calls to investigate the allegations of the president's abuse of his budgetary authority. Lula led Bolsonaro in the first-round vote by 5 percentage points overall, an advantage that opinion polls showed was bolstered by lower-income Brazilians. Auxilio Brasil is not the only program that government critics and legal experts have flagged on suspicion of skirting electoral law.
Supporters of Brazil's President and candidate for re-election Jair Bolsonaro and supporters of Brazil's former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva campaign together on a street during an election campaign in Brasilia, Brazil October 13, 2022. REUTERS/Ueslei Marcelino/File PhotoSAO PAULO, Oct 19 (Reuters) - Brazil's presidential race has narrowed to a 4-percentage-point gap between leftist front-runner Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and far-right incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro, and they are now statistically tied, according to a poll published on Wednesday. Datafolha said Lula now has 49% of voter support against 45% for Bolsonaro less than two weeks from the second-round runoff on Oct. 30, compared to 49% and 44% respectively in the previous poll five days ago. The poll has a margin of error of 2 percentage points up or down, meaning both could mathematically be tied at 47%. It was the first Datafolha survey since the presidential debate on Sunday, where Bolsonaro attacked corruption scandals under Lula's Workers Party, which governed from 2003 to 2016.
Former Brazil's President and presidential candidate Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Brazil's President and candidate for re-election Jair Bolsonaro attend a Presidential Debate ahead of the runoff election, in Sao Paulo, Brazil, October 16, 2022. REUTERS/Mariana GreifBRASILIA, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Right-wing Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro and leftist former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva attacked each others' records in office on Sunday in the first debate of the second round of Brazil's election. Lula won 48% of the votes in the first round of the election on Oct. 2 against 43% for Bolsonaro, whose unexpectedly strong performance set the stage for a competitive runoff on Oct 30. In a heated campaign to win swing votes, both candidates have ramped up their rhetoric, and delivered bruising personal attacks in TV ads. Bolsonaro's campaign was counting on Sunday's debate to help close the gap with Lula, who still has a lead of roughly 5 percentage points, based on surveys by pollster Datafolha.
Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterShe is far from the only evangelical Christian in Brazil dancing around that delicate matter. Although Bolsonaro and his allies have worked to transform Brazil's fast-growing evangelical churches into the bedrock of his political base, this year's campaign has shown the limits of that electoral strategy. After Bolsonaro won the evangelical vote two-to-one in 2018, many more evangelicals — especially poorer women — are weighing a vote for Lula, whose legacy of generous social programs speaks powerfully to Brazil's less affluent evangelical voters. Even as Bolsonaro has built up an advantage over Lula in the heat of the campaign, he struggled to break past 50% of the evangelical vote in recent Datafolha surveys. Looking to bolster the 'shy' Lula vote among evangelicals, the Workers Party (PT) is partnering with leftist pastors like Paulo Marcelo Schallenberger, whose sermons aim to counter the party's "demonization" in evangelical circles.
They asked the top Federal Police officers in each state to reinforce Lula campaign events with bulletproof cars, tactical teams, drones and intelligence reports. Some of them have responded by stockpiling guns and lashing out at leftists during a tense campaign marred by high-profile cases of violence. Ten years of troubles have resulted in stark political polarization - embodied by Lula and Bolsonaro - that has become increasingly menacing on the campaign trail. BOLSONARO STRONGHOLDSThe Federal Police have also sought to open two other criminal probes over threats to Lula, according to the source. Lula has just 27% support in Santa Catarina, against 49% for Bolsonaro, according to the latest survey by pollster Ipec.
Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterFormer Brazilian President and presidential candidate Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva gestures near his wife, Rosangela Da Silva, during the rally "Todos Juntos pelo Rio Grande do Sul" (All Together for Rio Grande do Sul) in Porto Alegre, Brazil, September 16, 2022. REUTERS/Diego Vara/File PhotoSAO PAULO, Sept 22 (Reuters) - Brazil's presidential frontrunner Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro by 14 points in a poll published on Thursday by pollster Datafolha, less than two weeks before the Oct. 2 first-round vote. The Datafolha survey showed Lula with 47% voter support versus 33% for Bolsonaro in the election's first round, compared with 45% and 33%, respectively, in the previous poll. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Peter Frontini and Pedro Fonseca; Editing by David Alire GarciaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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